School soccer wins total finest bets: UNLV is on the rise

The school soccer season is 5 weeks away, and the win totals within the Westgate Superbook for all 131 Soccer Bowl subdivision groups are on board.

I requested 5 skilled oddsmakers and handicappers for his or her finest bets and, unsurprisingly, UNLV Over was a typical sport.

The Rebels are 2-16 below coach Marcus Arroyo and have just one successful season to this century. However bookies anticipate them to point out important enchancment this season.

UNLV’s win totals are 4½ at Westgate and BetMGM and 4 at Circa Sports activities and Caesar Sportsbook, who took the Rebels 3½ on Wednesday after performing on overs of -140 and -150.

“In the event that they see enchancment, 4 or 5 wins are positively on the desk,” mentioned Adam Pullan, Kaiser’s assistant director of enterprise. “I feel everybody in Las Vegas is itching to see Marcus Arroyo get issues on monitor.”

Westgate Vice President of Danger Ed Salmons wager the Rebels over 3½ to win, and ESPN Sports activities betting analyst Joe Fortenbaugh additionally advisable UNLV over 3½ earlier than transferring as much as Kaiser’s quantity.

“UNLV’s schedule has lightened this yr. Regardless that they completed 2-10 final yr, I imagine they had been a lot better than their file,” mentioned Salmon. “They’ve a bunch of transfers from colleges that you just wouldn’t usually see at UNLV. There’s some upside, and a few groups within the Mountain West are in a whole rebuild.”

The Salmons anticipated the Rebels to beat Idaho State, Hawaii, New Mexico and the UNR, which they wager to go below a 5½ victory. The Wolf Pack whole at BetMGM is 5 (u-120).

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The Rebels added a number of former Energy 5 gamers through the switch portal, together with Tennessee quarterback Harrison Bailey, Michigan State huge receiver Ricky White, and Florida State exterior linebacker Jordan Eubanks.

Fortenbaugh (@JoeFortenbaugh) additionally expects UNLV to point out optimistic regression in some key metrics.

“The 2 that stand out to me are the turnover differential and his file in one-score video games,” he mentioned. “UNLV was ranked 97th within the nation within the turnover differential (-5) final yr and was 0-6 in a one-score sport. Should you’re on one finish of the spectrum, chances are high there’s going to be some regression.”

Southern California Beneath 9½ (Even)

The Trojans are a preferred nationwide title after including former Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley and quarterbacks Caleb Williams and wideout Jordan Edison. However disabled Bruce Marshall, editor of The Gold Sheet, doesn’t anticipate to dwell as much as USC’s promotion.

“There’s an issue fixing a protection that final season was the worst at school historical past,” he mentioned. “Riley isn’t inheriting the Final 4 staff like he did from Bob Stoops in Oklahoma. As a substitute, he inherited the worst SC staff of my lifetime final yr, although there have been huge personnel adjustments, principally by switch portal.

“I see a doable 8-4 file.”

Colorado Beneath 3½ (-175)

ESPN “Each day Wager” host Doug Kezirian is banking on Buffaloes to go below his numbers after scoring all 4 of their victories at dwelling final season.

“All of it comes on schedule for me,” Kezirian (@DougESPN) mentioned. “Final yr, they had been capable of sneak up on some groups and benefit from their dwelling floor and altitude. However I can’t think about that may occur this yr as a result of all of their convention dwelling video games are towards top-tier groups in Utah, UCLA, Oregon, Cal and Arizona State.

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“The buffalo is more likely to be an underdog in each sport. 4 wins is just too little to ask for.”

Washington Beneath 8 (125)

The Huskies went 4-8 final season, and Texas-based handicapper Paul Stone doesn’t see him flipping that mark this season.

“Washington’s schedule has actually declined within the two seasons since Chris Peterson left,” Stone (@paulstonesports) mentioned. “Callen DeBoer might have fastened the ship in Seattle in time, however I put the Husky’s win whole at seven, and I feel reaching that quantity would signify a tangible achievement this season.”

Purdue Beneath 7½ (125)

Stone additionally expects the Boilermakers to go down final season after successful eight regular-season video games for the primary time in 15 years. He famous that Purdue misplaced its prime offensive and defensive participant to David Bell and defensive finish George Karloftis, a first-round NFL draft decide.

“I actually imagine Purdue’s ceiling is seven wins this season,” Stone mentioned.

Contact reporter Todd Davey at [email protected] obey @tdewey33 on Twitter.